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Money is too tight to mention

By Clive McDonnell | China Daily | Updated: 2013-10-18 08:12

Emerging equity markets have risen 5-10 percent since the start of September in a relief rally as US bond yields have declined and expectations of the first increase in the Federal Reserve rate have been deferred to 2015. Nevertheless, because some of these markets are hostage to foreign flows and sentiment, long-term investors are likely to shift asset allocations from markets with weaker fundamentals to those with more robust foundations.

The Fed's surprise decision to postpone the unwinding of its quantitative easing (QE) monetary policy may provide a temporary boost, but it will not change these underlying trends.

From an equity investor's standpoint, financial conditions in Asia tightened considerably during the second quarter of this year as foreign liquidity injections into the monetary base slowed or - in the case of Indonesia - declined. Rather than offsetting this tightness in foreign liquidity, policymakers in India, Indonesia and Turkey have compounded the deterioration in the third quarter by tightening domestic liquidity conditions. These policies have the effect of sacrificing growth to support exchange rates.

Money is too tight to mention

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